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Blogs > redrockrascal > My Blog

NFL Picks – Conference Championship Games  

redrockrascal 65M
8604 posts
1/20/2019 8:57 am
NFL Picks – Conference Championship Games


Last week my picks were 2 of 4 . . . again

Overview:
Both games are repeats of regular season matchups – both games were effectively decided by 4th quarter field goals. Unlike many this Championship has come down the 1 and 2 teams in each conference. Both games will feature a young gun QB playing against a savvy veteran. And both stadiums are among the loudest in the league.

Road teams are 0-10 in conference title games in the last 5 . The last visiting teams to advance were the Ravens and 49ers in 2012.

NFC Championship – L A Rams (2nd seed, 13-3) at New Orleans (1st seed, 13-3):
3:05 p.m. ET, Fox
These teams played Nov. 4 and the Saints got a 35-14 lead in the first half. The Rams tied the game 35-35 in the 4th. The Saints hit a go-ahead field goal and then put the game away on a 72-yard TD pass from Drew Brees to Michael Thomas on 3rd down with less than 4 minutes to go.

Some regular season stats for you to crunch on:
Both QBs threw 32 Touchdown passes.
Completion percentage: Goff 64.9, Brees 74.4
Yards: Goff 4,688, Brees 3,992
Interceptions: Goff 12, Brees 5
QB Rating: Goff 101.1, Brees 115.7

Brees is a bigger threat in front of a home crowd; he had a 133.3 QB rating at the Superdome in the regular season.

Weather will not be a factor but, the Superdome is one of the loudest venues in the NFL. Coach Payton gave specific directions for the crowd; Make noise early in the play clock, to make it hard for the Rams to communicate plays in.

Prediction: Saints win
-----------------------------------

AFC Championship – New England (2nd seed, 11-5) at Kansas City (1st seed, 12-4):
6:40 p.m. ET CBS
These teams played Oct. 14 and the Patriots won 43-40 with a field goal as time expired. Patrick Mahomes had 352 yards and 4 touchdowns, 3 to Tyreek Hill. Tom Brady threw for 340 yards. The teams combined for 946 yards. I would expect the patsies to try to significantly pressure Mahomes.

A little history:
The last time Brady played at Arrowhead he was benched during a 41-14 loss in 2014. The Patriots also have a 3-11-1 record all-time in Kansas City.

The Pats have lost their last three AFC title games on the road dating back to the blown 21-3 lead against Manning and the Indianapolis Colts in 2006.

Today is the 17th anniversary of the infamous “Tuck Game”.

Game time conditions:
The turf at Arrowhead Stadium has been a problem for some teams, but I read that it had been replaced this week.

The Patriots and Chiefs both have explosive offenses, but the weather probably will not be conducive to a lot of points. In Kansas City sunset is at about 5:30 at that time the temperatures will start dropping into the mid/low 20's. It won’t get warmer as the game goes deeper into the night.

For two of the highest scoring offenses in the NFL, it’s not the best news. In the cold the ball is harder to catch – that is why a certain team deflated the game balls some ago.

Prediction: Chiefs win


When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.
redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/25/2019 7:39 pm
    Quoting  :
How's about givin the 2 balls a shake
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


sweet_VM 66F  
81699 posts
1/21/2019 3:00 pm

 I ended up watching both OT games yesterday. One of my teams got in and the other one had a bad call. Now just waiting for the 3 Feb. Hugs V
Become a blog watcher sweet_vm


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 8:13 pm
    Quoting SeaGirlFL:
    My picks...Rams & Chiefs.

    (Though the way the Saints/Rams is going, I'm thinking I might be at 50% again this week...)
I lost both tonight
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 8:12 pm
    Quoting  :
You like how I tucked that in there huh?

Tha Saints were cheated this time
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


wyld14fun31 64M  

1/20/2019 3:47 pm

 too bad the NFL is rigged for big market teams and who they want to win that they cheat the better team but not calling an obvious pass interference call' Fuck the NFL. I'll find better things to do with my time than watch and support another version of championship wrestling.


SeaGirlFL 60F
9220 posts
1/20/2019 2:53 pm

 My picks...Rams & Chiefs.

(Though the way the Saints/Rams is going, I'm thinking I might be at 50% again this week...)
"Sometimes the most productive thing you can do is relax." – Mark Black


mc_justmc 64M

1/20/2019 1:20 pm

 Do you mean, am I a horn dog? Of course!


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 12:36 pm
    Quoting mc_justmc:
    Ooooo, I'm late! I got here as fast as I could, some chick was looking at me... Chiefs Saints! That's my picks!
Did you look at her?
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


mc_justmc 64M

1/20/2019 12:14 pm

 Ooooo, I'm late! I got here as fast as I could, some chick was looking at me... Chiefs Saints! That's my picks!


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 10:47 am
    Quoting sexyldy1000:
    I will be happy 😊 as long as the Patriots don’t win!
You just became 1000% sexyer
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 10:46 am
    Quoting Tmptrzz:
    I am going for the Saints too but can't keep the RAMS down either..lol

    And you know My "CHIEFS" to win go PATRICKKKKKKKKKK and all your arsenal..
Both will be tough games T - be well
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 10:44 am
    Quoting TjChoc11:
    Going Saints/Chiefs....I think Reid will be able to pull it off today...
Agreed, but Belacheat is pretty slick game plan wise.
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 10:43 am
    Quoting Maize32:
    My prediction =

    L.A. Rams - More complete team, and will be looking to avenge the earlier loss this year.

    KC Chiefs - While difficult to beat against the Patriots, they are not a good road team.
Interesting analysis.
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


sexyldy1000 68F  
9607 posts
1/20/2019 10:42 am

 I will be happy 😊 as long as the Patriots don’t win!


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 10:42 am
    Quoting PyschoLoco:
    All the home teams won last week so I agree with both your choices as well "Tuck" game? I don't remember this. Did Brady hide the ball under his jersey? I kinda have some recollection of something along those lines. Wonder if he ever gets sick of everyone talking how old he is. I know I do
The "Tuck" game was patsies vs. RAIDERS AFC Champ game. The NFL changed the fumble related rule after that.
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


Tmptrzz 61F  
107039 posts
1/20/2019 10:33 am

 I am going for the Saints too but can't keep the RAMS down either..lol

And you know My "CHIEFS" to win go PATRICKKKKKKKKKK and all your arsenal..
Seduce the mind and see what a wonderful adventure the body will take you on..


TjChoc11 37M
28 posts
1/20/2019 9:46 am

 Going Saints/Chiefs....I think Reid will be able to pull it off today...


Maize32 56M
1391 posts
1/20/2019 9:29 am

 My prediction =

L.A. Rams - More complete team, and will be looking to avenge the earlier loss this year.

KC Chiefs - While difficult to beat against the Patriots, they are not a good road team.


PyschoLoco 61M
1550 posts
1/20/2019 9:13 am

 All the home teams won last week so I agree with both your choices as well "Tuck" game? I don't remember this. Did Brady hide the ball under his jersey? I kinda have some recollection of something along those lines. Wonder if he ever gets sick of everyone talking how old he is. I know I do
Standards are people too.....kinda


redrockrascal 65M
23580 posts
1/20/2019 8:58 am

 Kick off post
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro.

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


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